Wang JH, Lu SX, Wang DR, Zhang XL, Feng L (2007b) 'Risk analysis of evacuation under building fire based on point estimate method.' (Atlantis Press: Paris) 312-316

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Keywords:

fire risk assessment; Rosenblueth algorithms; evacuation reliability; probability moments;

Abstract: The risk on the evacuees exposed under building fire is quantified by reliability index beta in single-room building, and the probability of successful evacuation is obtained according to beta. Random variables influencing the reliability of evacuation are taken into account and described into probabilistic distribution denoting uncertainty characteristics in evacuation, and the performance for evacuation is established. Further more, Rosenblueth method is employed to calculate the reliability index beta; the mathematical model for evacuation evaluation is set up. A case analysis is given in this paper to show that this method can perform the calculation of reliability index beta.